Newsletter: Carney’s first act in office puts an end to an Albertan invention; meanwhile, the UCP punch back at “CorruptCare”

Carney’s first act in office puts an end to an Albertan invention

Rest in peace to a real one: Canada’s carbon tax is dead, slain by Prime Minister Mark Carney.

It’s a policy move with particular resonance to Alberta and not just because all the conservatives here hate it. While a variety of approaches to pricing carbon have been tried over the years, the federal carbon tax cribbed almost entirely from the Notley NDP’s climate plan.

Consumption taxes can have regressive impacts—which is to say that they can tax the poor more than the rich—and so the carbon taxes were paired with cash benefits targeted at lower incomes. And on the industry side, a system called output-based allocations corrected for the carbon tax’s impact on competitiveness. That tax-rebate-OBA structure is what the feds replicated in their own carbon tax package, and has been ported over into other jurisdictions as well, like British Columbia’s in 2024. 

Despite what a flood of ads from the Conservative Party and oil-and-gas companies claiming otherwise, the impact of the tax fell mostly on wealthy households and on emissions-intensive industrial companies, just as designed. But the tax wasn’t just hated by wealthy conservative donors and corporate lobbyists. By the time Carney put an end to it, the carbon tax had very few defenders other than some very locked-in economists and environmentalists.

For that, I think we have the Notley administration to thank too.

I can personally attest as a former Alberta NDP door-knocker to how popular Notley’s climate program was with environmentalists and the left when it was first introduced, and how dramatically that opinion had curdled by the end of Notley’s term.

Acceptance of the policy rested so much on people’s trust in Notley herself, and for many environmentalists and leftists that trust was shattered when Notley put a figurative gun to her own climate plan’s head to appease the oil lobby. Prime Minister Trudeau’s rep with the enviros fared no better since that whole fiasco ended with the federal government buying the Trans Mountain pipeline.

Moreover, neither level of government had the will to raise the tax high enough to meet Canada’s climate targets, so it got harder and harder to argue that it was even working. By the time the feds starting carving out discounts for regional interests the whole thing was cooked.

Prime Minister Carney says he has some alternative in mind. I’ll believe it when I see it. The immediate impact of the end of this program, however, will be distributional: the carbon tax plus rebates regime was redistributing wealth down to working-class households. Odds are that if you’re reading this, your family will be a few hundred dollars poorer this year.

The UCP present their counter-narrative to “CorruptCare”

The Alberta government filed its statement of defense against former AHS CEO Athana Mentzelopoulos's wrongful dismissal suit last week and, wow, it’s punchy.

This document is written as much for the courts as it is for public consumption. Initial communications from the UCP when this scandal broke suggested that Mentzelopoulos had simply been dismissed as part of the dramatic restructuring of AHS presently underway, but that’s not the narrative they’re advancing now.

Mentzelopoulos’ allegations of corruption are just “a diversion from the plaintiff's own inadequacies,” the government argues now, in a bombastic document that proposes that Mentzelopoulos became infatuated with conspiracy theories and had to be fired because she wasn’t doing her job.

“Woman Bad” is always a winning argument with reactionary audiences—I see that Baldoni-Lively stuff is doing numbers on Instagram—but I doubt this line of attack will be well received outside of the UCP base. Mentzelopoulos, for her part, says she wants her day in court as soon as possible.

Meanwhile, the Globe and Mail just keeps publishing more stories with even more details of UCP-directed malfeasance at AHS. The latest: back before this even got started, AHS officials urged the Smith administration not to cut the ‘Turkish Tylenol’ deal with Sam Mraiche’s MHCare.

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